Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat betting tips and predictions for Tuesday’s NBA game on NBA TV. Miami hopes to even the regular season series against Toronto as the two teams meet up for the 4th and final time this season. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
With just 7 games left the Raptors are 3 games off of 7th seeded Miami in the East standings, so they should really focus on trying to remain in 8th as the Atlanta Hawks and Chicago Bulls are right there with them. Winning the last 2 games must feel good for Toronto as they beat two teams that are outside the playoff picture, but tonight they’re facing a Heat team that is a much tougher opponent.
The last 2 meetings did go Toronto’s way, and they have a solid opportunity to seal the regular season series at home tonight. Playing at home will do the team well from a mental point of view, they’re 9-1 SU in their last 10 at Scotiabank Arena, while against Miami they’ve won 14 of their last 19 games there.
If there was one word I had to use to describe Miami’s season it would be “inconsistency”. This team will beat the Knicks by 7 points one night and then follow it up with a 29 point home loss to Brooklyn, which makes absolutely no sense from a betting perspective. The loss to the Nets could prove costly as they’re not behind them in the standings for 6th place, which would mean if the season ended today Miami would be in the play-in tournament.
Toronto isn’t exactly the place to seek a turnaround of your form, in their last 6 games against the Raptors Miami has covered the spread just once. Against Eastern Conference opponents they’re just 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games. The Heat opened as 3-point underdogs here, in that role they are just 5-14 SU this season.
After watching the collapse vs Brooklyn I just cannot trust the Heat anymore. Toronto has been a steady bet in home games, they’re 23-15-1 ATS when playing there. I’ll take my chances by backing the home team to cover.
Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Predictions & Odds
Neither of the 3 meetings so far this season were high scoring, with 2 of them finishing under tonight’s projected total of 219.5 points. These two teams are averaging only 213 points per game in the last 10 meetings head-to-head, so it’s no surprise we have such a low number set by the oddsmakers here. Miami has gone under the total in 4 of 5 road games, for the season they are 14-21-1 on the O/U which is a clear indicator of their style of play in away games.
Toronto has a habit of going under the total vs teams from their own conference with 6 of their last 9 such games cashing on that bet. Playing this deep into the season the stakes are a lot higher, so I can definitely see both teams turning it up a bit more than usual on defense. Because of this I would recommend backing the under.