Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat betting tips and predictions for Wednesday’s NBA game. Two of the very best the Eastern Conference has to offer will meet up tonight as the Milwaukee Bucks take on the Miami Heat in their 4th and final regular-season meeting. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
- Start date: 02.03.2022 at 7 PM
- Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee
The Bucks have only 1 win in 3 regular season meetings with Miami this season, but that hasn’t stopped the oddsmakers to favor them by 4.5-points ahead of tonight’s game. Milwaukee suffered an unexpected 126-123 home loss to Brooklyn right after the all-star break, but they were able to bounce back with a 130-108 triumph at home against the Charlotte Hornets behind a 44-point 2nd quarter.
The game was pretty much over by halftime, so the starters had plenty of time to rest as none of them played more than 28 minutes. The Bucks have a fairly solid home record against Miami, they’ve beaten them in 4 of the last 5 games at Fiserv Forum, however, what is concerning if you are a Bucks fan is their form against the spread in recent games. They are just 3-9 ATS in the last 12 vs Eastern Conference teams, plus overall in their last 6 they’ve covered the spread just once.
With a 2 game lead over the Chicago Bulls atop of the Eastern Conference, you could make a case that the Miami Heat are the team to beat in the NBA right now. They’ve won 9 of their last 10 games, plus on the road, they have a flawless 6-0 record over their last 6 games. This team is showing no signs of slowing down, despite injuries to their roster all season long. They’ll once again be without their point-guard Kyle Lowry who will be sitting this game out due to personal reasons.
Luckily for the Heat, though they have plenty of options that can step up, so it won’t be too much of a problem. Their 2 all-stars Bam Adebayo and Jimmy Butler are both playing at an elite level right now.
Against the Bulls they didn’t have the best of scoring nights with 15 points apiece, however, their defence was spectacular as they kept both DeMar DeRozan and Zach LaVine in check. Tonight’s game will be a big test as Milwaukee has beaten them in 6 of the last 8 meetings.
This is one of those games that are tough to call, but I’m going to have to side with the home team here. After all, the last time they hosted Miami they beat them by 22 points. With a win here Miami would almost certainly cement their place as the number 1 seed in the East, I’m not yet ready to give them that. Let’s back the home team to cover.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Predictions & Odds
We have the 5th and 12th ranked defensive efficiency teams going at it tonight, so I’m puzzled by the projected total being set at 227 points here. Miami has held 2 of their last 3 opponents to 100 and 99 points, plus on the road, they allow just 104.7 points per game which is the best mark in the entire NBA.
Milwaukee allows just 109.3 per game at home, so even if both teams reached their season averages we are staying well below the total here. The 3 most recent meetings have averaged 225 points, the last 10 are at 223.9 per game so I think we are in a good spot with our bet here.
Tempo wise the Heat rank only 29th in the NBA averaging just 98 possessions per game, while Milwaukee is 8th with 101.8 per game. The build-up to this game has a real playoff feeling and if both teams take this game seriously, we will see both defences at a high level here which should result in a lower-scoring game. This will be a good test for both sides to see where exactly they are defensively, so I think we should go with the under in this one.