Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns betting tips and predictions for Wednesday’s NBA game on ESPN. It’s a marquee match-up between two of the best teams in each Conference as the Miami Heat host the Phoenix Suns in their 2nd and final meeting this season. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
- Start date: 09.03.2022 at 7:30 PM
- Location: FTX Arena, Florida
The Miami Heat enter tonight’s game on a 4-game home win streak and with them already beating the Suns by 23 points earlier in the season they are heavy favourites here once again. In that role this season they’ve gone 32-14 SU so far and at home they’ve beaten the Suns 8 times in the last 11 meetings.
Winning at the FTX Arena has been a challenge for almost every time that’s visited this season, the Heat are 23-7 SU and own one of the best records in the NBA. They’re coming off a 123-106 win over Houston in which Tyler Herro led them with another masterful performance off the bench scoring 31 points.
Only Markieff Morris is listed as questionable for tonight’s game, so they are in good shape health wise as we approach the final 16 regular season games.
The Suns failed to cover as 6.5 point favourites last night at Orlando, but they were still able to get a 102-99 win, mainly thanks to Deandre Ayton and Landry Shamet who scored 21 points each. Chris Paul remains out with his broken finger, while Devin Booker could make a return as he has been updated to probable which means he is exiting the health and safety protocols soon.
Bettors have been disappointed with the Suns latest performances against the spread, this team is only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. However, they are still a force to be reckoned with even without their top 2 players.
Over their last 20 games they have 16 wins and on the road they are 13-2 SU in their last 15. However, things could get tricky against Miami as they’ve beaten them just 3 times in their last 11 trips to South Beach.
Miami has outscored the Suns by 6.4 points per game in their last 10 meetings, which gives me optimism they can cover the spread in tonight’s game. This team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs Western Conference opponents, back them to cover against a shorthanded Suns team here.
Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Predictions & Odds
In the first meeting of the season the Heat torched the Suns from downtown connecting on 22 of 44 attempts and finished the game scoring 123 points. Phoenix couldn’t do much even with Paul and Booker in the squad as they shot just 38% from the field.
It’s hard to expect another night like that from Miami, but I still think we could go over the total here. The Suns have sped up their game quite a lot without Paul and now with the news of Booker returning that just enhances their offensive abilities.
The total has gone over in 7 of the last 9 meetings between the two teams as well. Miami has gone over in 5 straight vs Pacific Division opponents and they are 17-13 on the O/U in home games this season. Despite being only 28th in pace of play this season, they still average 113.4 points per game which ranks them 16th.
Phoenix has gone over the total 9 times in 13 games, including 6 of 7 vs Eastern Conference opponents. They average 112.7 points per game on the road this season while playing the 8th fastest pace averaging 101.7 possessions per game. I think we are in for a fun and entertaining game here, so let’s back the points.