Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers betting tips and predictions for Monday’s NBA Eastern Conference Playoff game on TNT. The Miami Heat are huge favourites to advance against the Philadelphia 76ers as the two teams clash for Game 1 of their conference semi-finals. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Out of 19 analysts and experts on ESPN.com, none of them picked the Miami Heat to lose this series against the 76ers. That just shows you how much of an upset this would be if the series went any other way than a Miami Heat win. Coming into the series opener, Miami is a 7.5-point favourite at home where they’ve won 6 games in a row.
They have the rest advantage over Philly after finishing off the Hawks in 5 games, while the 76ers took 6 games to beat the Toronto Raptors. Injuries could also play a major factor in deciding this series, the Heat are pretty much all good to go aside from a couple of bumps and bruises which is normal for this time of the season. They have covered the spread in 9 of their last 12 games and in their last 10 when playing as the favourites they are 7-3 ATS.
Losing Joel Embiid to an orbital fracture was a huge gut punch for the 76ers here as they’ll have to play at least the first two games of this series, if not more without their MVP candidate. The pressure now falls onto James Harden’s shoulders as he is expected to carry the team in his absence, we finally get to see what he is made of after he dodged the Heat in the last 2 regular season meetings. Philadelphia hasn’t had the best of times in South Beach lately winning just once in their last 6 visits.
Playing on the road, in general, has been tough, they’ve covered in just 2 of their last 8 games. These 2 teams split the regular season series 2-2, but most of those games were heavily influenced by injuries so they don’t mean much.
It’s hard to look past Miami in this game. You can bet on them to come out sharp, in their series opener against the Hawks they won by 24 points. Philadelphia is slightly better than Atlanta, but they surely won’t have a good time in tonight’s game. Back to Miami to cover.
Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Predictions & Odds
Miami’s tenacious defence held the Atlanta Hawks to just 97.4 points per game in 5 meetings during the 1st round, with 3 of those games ending with the Hawks scoring under 100 points. Their star player Trae Young just couldn’t get going as the Heat played him to perfection, which was a major reason why they won the series so easily. James Harden could get the same treatment as he is now the star player for Philly without Embiid on the floor.
Aside from the series clincher in Toronto, he hasn’t had the best of postseasons so far efficiency wise, but the good news is we start at 0-0 tonight and he can still change all that. The projected total has been set at 208.5 points, these two teams have surpassed that number in just 1 of the 4 meetings during the regular season which is understandable considering they are the 29th and 26th ranked teams in terms of pace. Defensive efficiency is Miami’s forte, they rank 5th in the NBA allowing just 106.3 points per 100 possessions.
Philadelphia is also in the top 15 at 12th allowing 108.3 per game. It’ll be interesting to see if their approach to these games changes until Embiid is back, but I think we are in for a defensive battle in the series opener. Back the under.