Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat betting tips and predictions for Monday’s NBATV game. The Denver Nuggets will look to end a 6-game losing streak as they travel to South Beach to take on the Miami Heat. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
The 2nd part of November is definitely not going according to plan for the Denver Nuggets who have dropped 6 games in a row. They are coming off a 120-109 home loss to the Milwaukee Bucks in what was their 4th straight game without MVP Nikola Jokic. His status for tonight’s game is unclear, the medical staff has him listed as questionable with a wrist injury. Without him the Nuggets are really struggling, they’ve failed to cover the spread in 6 games in a row and on the road they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 outings. However, they do have a good head-to-head score against the Heat in the last 10 meetings winning 8 of those. Playing in Miami they’ve also been successful lately by covering the spread 4 times in their last 5 visits.
Miami has been hit hard with injuries lately and as a result they’ve exchanged wins and losses in their last 5 games. They are coming off a 107-104 win against the Chicago Bulls, despite playing without Tyler Herro and getting just 9 points from Bam Adebayo. Kyle Lowry stepped up with 19 points and Gabe Vincent came off the bench and filled it up with 20 points of his own. This promises to be a hotly contested match-up as we all remember what happened in the game between these two a couple of weeks ago. However, Markieff Morris hasn’t played a single game since and will probably miss this one out. The Heat have been a covering machine this season, they are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 at home.
The Nuggets won the first meeting of the season by 17 points at home, but this will be a completely different ball game, especially if Nikola Jokic misses yet another game. Their last 5 defeats have been by 11, 19, 29, 6 and 14 points. I think Miami comes out with a ton of energy and makes sure they get revenge for the defeat in Denver. Back the Heat to cover.
Miami Heat – Denver Nuggets Odds
Miami Heat – Denver Nuggets Predictions
Miami -7.5 Point Spread is available at -110 odds on bet365
Without their defensive anchor Jokic the Nuggets defense has fallen apart completely. They have allowed 121.7 points per game in their last 3 outings which is the 2nd worst mark in the entire NBA. In road games this season they are allowing 110.1 points per game while scoring just 101.8 per game. Miami is keeping teams under 100 points per game at home this season, coincidentally they are the only team along Denver who does this. In their last 3 games opponents have averaged 103 per game against them, if Jokic doesn’t suit up here I think they’ll keep the Nuggets under 100 points easily. These are arguably the two slowest teams in the NBA pace-wise. Miami averages 97.2 possessions per game which is good for only 26th, while the Nuggets are even slower at 96.4 per game. I think this game has all the ingredients for a low scoring outcome. Let’s back the under.
Under 207.5 Total Points is available at -110 odds on bet365