Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks betting tips and predictions for Wednesday’s NBA game at Ball Arena. The new look Mavs are huge underdogs tonight as they face the best team in the Western Conference the Nuggets. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Denver is actually down 2-1 in the regular season series against the Mavericks, but despite that they are favorites by 7 points in tonight’s game. The last 2 meetings between these teams finished with just a single point separating them, so we could be in for another thriller tonight. Denver returns home following a successfully mini 2-1 SU road trip, following a 112-108 win over Miami.
Nikola Jokic once again showed why he’s the frontrunner to win his 3rd MVP award, scoring 27 points, grabbing 12 rebounds and dishing out 8 assists. With the Mavs having very little defensive presence in the middle, we could be in for another big night for the Serbian big man. Denver has gone 19-1 SU in their last 20 home games, they are also 10-2 SU in their last 12 vs Western Conference teams.
Integrating Kyrie Irving into the system is proving to be a challenge for Dallas. After winning their first 2 games with him, they’ve now dropped their last 2 vs Sacramento and Minnesota, despite having both Doncic and Irving in the line-up. That was to be expected when you have two ball dominant guards, it always takes time for them to figure things out.
Playing the Nuggets might be just what they need here, in the last 5 meetings Dallas has won 4 of them and covered the spread as many times. At Ball Arena they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 visits, however they’ll be heavily shorthanded here with the likes of Davis Bertans and Maxi Kleber being out, while Reggie Bullock, Tim Hardaway Jr. and Christian Wood all being questionable.
The Nuggets are a well oiled machine, they are probably winning this game, but 7 points does seem like a lot when you consider how close the games have been between these teams. I’ll be backing the Mavs to cover as road underdogs here.
Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Predictions & Odds
Scoring has gone up dramatically since the Mavs have acquired Kyrie and I expect that trend to continue in tonight’s game as well. You have two potent teams offensively, they rank 2nd and 6th in offensive efficiency averaging 115.6 and 114 points per 100 possessions. Dallas ranks only 29th in terms of pace, but don’t let that fool you.
They’ve gone over the total in 5 of 6 games lately, plus they’re also 16-14 on the O/U in road games. Denver has also gone over in 7 of their last 9 games, despite playing just the 19th fastest pace in the league. With so much offensive firepower on both rosters, this game could very well end in the high 230s, so I’ll be backing the over with confidence.