Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat betting tips and predictions for Friday’s NBA Eastern Conference Finals Game 6 on ESPN. The Boston Celtics look to join the Golden State Warriors in the NBA Finals as they host the Miami Heat holding a 3-2 lead. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
With 2 wins in a row in the series, the Boston Celtics are on the brink of advancing to the NBA finals for the first time since 2010. Defense has been a major factor over the pas 2 games as they held Miami to just 82 and 80 points, something you don’t see in today’s scoring oriented NBA that often. The mentality will be the same heading into Game 6 tonight, as the Celtics open as 8.5 point favourites.
Jayson Tatum only had 22 points on 7-for-20 shooting in Game 5, but it was Jaylen Brown once again scoring 25 and carrying the Celtics. Ahead of tonight’s game the status of Marcus Smart is once again up in the air, but according to the latest reports he should be ready to go. Boston has covered in 14 of their last 19 games vs Eastern Conference opponents and they are 13-5 SU in their last 18 home games.
After opening the series with 60 points over the first 2 games, Jimmy Butler has combined to score just 27 over the past 3 and something is clearly off with him. In those 3 games he has made just 10 of 40 shots from the field and just 1 of 7 three-point attempts. Getting that kind of production from your best player is alarming, especially when you are Miami and you don’t have enough offensive weapons to compensate for the lack of production.
Tyler Herro also didn’t play in Game 5 which was a massive blow as he was the team’s leading scorer in the regular season with over 20 points per game. Something has to change tonight, many experts are pointing to Kyle Lowry’s struggles and it is likely that coach Erik Spoelstra will bench him for tonight’s game. Will that be enough and can Miami stay alive? It’s going to be tough, they’ve won just 6 of their last 19 games when playing on Friday away from home.
I have Boston winning this game. None of the games in this series have been all that close, In fact 4 of 5 have finished with a double-digit win. I’m expecting more of the same tonight, Miami just cannot keep up with a much more talented Boston offence. Give me the Celtics to cover.
Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Predictions & Odds
The projected total is at it’s lowest it’s been in these 6 games tonight at just 201 points. With the way the Miami Heat have been playing on offense, even that sounds a bit too much to overcome here. The Heat have scored just 82 and 80 points in their last 2 outings and the total has gone under in both games as a result. If we look at their last 10 games when playing as the underdog the total has gone under 7 times, which gives us a pretty good idea of how things will unfold tonight.
In their last 7 games on the road in these playoffs, the under has cashed 5 times and if we look at their last 16 games overall it’s happened in 11 of them. The same goes for Boston – they’ve gone under the total in 6 of 8 games when playing as the favourite and it’s all thanks to their stellar play on defence where they rank 2nd in points allowed per game this postseason.
Teams are scoring just 100.7 points per game against them, it’s hard to imagine Miami going over 100 points tonight if I’m being honest. I’m taking the under as the Celtics advance to the NBA Finals in front of the home fans after another big game on the defensive end.